Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006444 0.007205 0.008035 0.009007 0.010119 0.011353 0.012831
2025-03-09 0.005169 0.006193 0.007401 0.008941 0.010865 0.013207 0.016301
2025-03-16 0.004326 0.005414 0.006766 0.008585 0.010997 0.014123 0.018542
2025-03-23 0.003845 0.004986 0.006463 0.008543 0.011441 0.015401 0.021339
2025-03-30 0.003622 0.004848 0.006497 0.008917 0.012447 0.017517 0.025559
2025-04-06 0.003237 0.004443 0.006113 0.008647 0.012481 0.018220 0.027753
2025-04-13 0.002928 0.004109 0.005790 0.008415 0.012526 0.018911 0.029987
2025-04-20 0.002724 0.003905 0.005628 0.008399 0.012881 0.020104 0.033185
2025-04-27 0.002620 0.003837 0.005658 0.008671 0.013713 0.022153 0.038138
2025-05-04 0.002456 0.003661 0.005505 0.008634 0.014021 0.023344 0.041712
2025-05-11 0.002329 0.003533 0.005414 0.008683 0.014474 0.024828 0.046052
2025-05-18 0.002180 0.003357 0.005230 0.008556 0.014599 0.025722 0.049352
2025-05-25 0.002082 0.003262 0.005179 0.008668 0.015194 0.027624 0.055161
2025-06-01 0.001960 0.003118 0.005038 0.008608 0.015469 0.028954 0.060033
2025-06-08 0.001802 0.002903 0.004757 0.008268 0.015162 0.029074 0.062206
2025-06-15 0.001708 0.002791 0.004644 0.008227 0.015440 0.030430 0.067499
2025-06-22 0.001683 0.002795 0.004738 0.008585 0.016561 0.033739 0.078204
2025-06-29 0.001570 0.002636 0.004525 0.008326 0.016366 0.034111 0.081526
2025-07-06 0.001472 0.002498 0.004339 0.008105 0.016228 0.034590 0.085231
2025-07-13 0.001409 0.002419 0.004259 0.008089 0.016535 0.036155 0.092242
2025-07-20 0.001385 0.002411 0.004311 0.008350 0.017490 0.039418 0.104860
2025-07-27 0.001327 0.002334 0.004226 0.008314 0.017759 0.041012 0.112886
2025-08-03 0.001282 0.002280 0.004181 0.008361 0.018226 0.043186 0.123247